Suicide Theory of Ira Yarmolenko's Death

Ira Yarmolenko suicide reenactment photo

The photo above is from a suicide reenactment video that follows the evidence found at the scene of Ira Yarmolenko's death and is of particular interest since prosecutors during closing arguments in Mark Carver's 2011 trial claimed that Yarmolenko could not have reached around her neck to hook the bungee cord hooks, which was easy during the reenactment. The suicide theory proposes the following:

  1. First, Yarmolenko attempted to drive her car underwater but crashed on the riverbank.
  2. Then, she tried to drown herself in the river but was unable to do so without an attached weight since natural reflexes brought her up for air.
  3. Finally, she applied ligatures around her neck. It is possible she used her car keys to cut a ribbon loose from a bag found in the back seat of her car, shredding the ends of the ribbon. The keys were found on the ground next to the rear driver's side of the car. The suicide theory proposes that Yarmolenko may have then continued her attempts by tying three ligatures around her neck, the ribbon, a drawstring taken from her hoodie and a bungee cord similar to another one in the trunk of her car.

Yarmolenko's life had a troubled side, including depression and repeated suicide attempts as a teenager, yet the flawless reports of her life that have emerged in the media continue to overshadow this case. While the author of this website cares about the lives of all those touched by this tragedy, including the surviving members of the Yarmolenko family, she also cares about the lives destroyed by wrongful conviction and therefore feels the truth about the suicide-related evidence in this case should be known. Consider how suicide offers a logical explanation for how Yarmolenko died while murder theories conflict with the total picture of evidence and require several unlikely events to have all occurred within a short time frame.

Who Drove the Car?

A panoramic view of Ira Yarmolenko's car tracks at the scene of her death.

A straight line of car tracks went down the embankment in Ira Yarmolenko's car crash.

Yarmolenko's hand grasped brush (some sources say a vine) rooted to the ground where she was found, indicating she died where she lay. This evidence that Yarmolenko was still alive at the bottom of the riverbank narrows the possibilities of how her car may have crashed. Worth also noting for the following points is that her arms and feet were unrestrained. The black box data from the car has been interpreted in different ways by various experts through the years, but one possibility is that someone was sitting in the driver's seat with the seatbelt engaged when the car went down the embankment (see "Airbag Deployment" on the scene findings page for more explanation about the data). The speed at which the car was traveling when it hit the tree stump would have propelled it at least partly underwater if not all the way, where it could have remained concealed for years until drought lowered the water level. This means it is unlikely a killer drove the car down the embankment unless he had intended to die himself. If someone subdued Yarmolenko alive in the car and intended to send her into the river with her car, then she must have been unable to engage the brakes as the car descended or she would have done so. If Yarmolenko had been in control of her car and trying to escape, surely she would have driven back toward open highway, past the many construction workers at the top of the embankment who could have helped her. If Yarmolenko intended to drive herself with her car into the river, then all of the following questions would be resolved:

  • What caused the patch of petechia (small, red spots caused by bleeding into the skin) located on Yarmolenko's right thigh? The small, triangular area could be more consistent with injury caused by sharp impact with the steering wheel or center console during the car crash than with an attacker having sat on her as a law enforcement officer suggested in a Dateline interview.
  • If no one was steering the car, then how did it travel a direct path? Dirt mounds, dumped from nearby construction, were scattered on the embankment, yet broken vegetation showed the car corrected toward a straight path each time it started to veer. By the time the car reached the river, it was still traveling in the center of the clearing.
  • Where was Yarmolenko? The trunk was filled with gear, providing little room for her to have been forced into the trunk space alive.Ira Yarmolenko's car trunk was filled with gear.
  • If we assume for a moment that Yarmolenko was pursued yet unable to drive toward the direction of safety, then why was her body found only a few feet from her car? The distance down the embankment was far enough to have provided a lead for an escape attempt over anyone else following on foot had she somehow been forced down the embankment in her car. Alternately, why didn't she lock the car and use her cell phone to call for help? No such call was recorded. Some reports indicate she had two cell phones in the car.
  • Was Yarmolenko separated from her car and killed elsewhere from the attempted concealment of the car? The close proximity of Yarmolenko's body to the car makes this unlikely.

Eyewitness: "Her body was wet. Her clothing was wet. It appeared that her hair was wet, also."

How did Yarmolenko become wet? A scene eyewitness testified at Carver's 2011 trial using photographic evidence that Yarmolenko's body, clothing and hair were wet even though she was found on dry ground. No footprints were recorded as having been found at the river's edge, which might have been expected if she had struggled with an attacker in the water. Had an attacker chased her into the river, he could have killed her by drowning much more easily than the manner in which she was found, with three ligatures intricately tied.

Yarmolenko's hand grasped brush from the spot where her body lay, indicating she was alive when she came to her final resting place. If she died right where she lay and the overall wetness was due to submersion in the Catawba River, then the submersion would have likely happened before her death and before the ligatures were applied and began to restrict return blood flow from her head to render her unconscious. The ligatures themselves, particularly the ribbon, do not appear wet in photographs that have been made available through the media, nor did the eyewitness describe any wetness on the ligatures during his trial testimony.

The suicide theory proposes that Yarmolenko intended to drown herself after her attempt to drive her car into the river failed. Natural reflexes make self-drowning without an attached weight difficult because we instinctively come up for air. A small scrape on Yarmolenko's index finger may have come during the process of using her keys to cut the ribbon used for the ribbon used as a ligature or from brush or tree limbs on the ground and in the water.

As to Carver's movements, his family claims that police witnessed his clothing and shoes to be dry at the same time that Yarmolenko's body was wet, and James Beatty who along with his brother saw Carver at the riverbank after Yarmolenko's death confirmed during an April 2019 court hearing and to The Charlotte Observer in 2016 that Carver appeared calm, clean and dry. See more commentary about wetness in this case under the "Prosecutors' Theory Impossible" heading near the end of this page.

Missing Motive

Yarmolenko's 35mm film camera was found in the trunk of her car with no film in it and the counter advanced to two exposures. During closing arguments in Carver's trial, the prosecution theorized that those two snapshots were the motivation for Yarmolenko's killer to attack and that the killer must have removed the film to hide what it contained. However, the instructor for the photography class in which Yarmolenko was enrolled was quoted in a Gaston Gazette article saying that film must have been removed first and then the shutter button pressed afterward, since removal of film re-sets the counter to zero. Three other experienced 35mm photographers confirmed to the author of this site that the counter is zeroed every time the back cover of a 35mm camera is opened to remove film, and this author has access to a 35mm camera which she has viewed operating in this manner. Had any killer wanted to eliminate evidence of photos, he would probably have just taken the camera. Because the camera was found in the trunk, it is likely that the camera was never used at the scene. This theory is confirmed by the fact that no DNA or fingerprints were found on the camera, not even Yarmolenko's own.

No sexual assault or robbery took place, which leaves question of a motive. Carver's and Cassada's fishing spot was obscured by trees, preventing them from seeing her arriving. No footprints or tire tracks were recorded that linked the fishermen to the scene. In addition to an unclear motive, rumors exist that one of the jetskiers who found Yarmolenko's body privately admitted to having seen Yarmolenko splashing around in the water alone prior to her death. They have denied it to media when asked. See our timeline and scene findings page for more information about the jetskiers and their conflicting testimonies on the witness stand.

First Responders Mentioned Suicide

Todd Cloyd was quoted by The Charlotte Observer reporting that first responders said they were processing a suicide at the scene of Yarmolenko's death. Cloyd had been kayaking a few feet shy of the scene of Ira Yarmolenko's death the morning before she was found, and he was working outside on his house which is just upriver from the scene when he heard the male jetskier yelling for help, later saw the news helicopters and put his young son in a canoe and rowed to the scene. Cloyd emailed the following to the author of this website:

"I didn't actually talk with first responders. I only spoke with a boater that was on the river near the scene as I canoed. This boater had spoken to first responders and he said they told him it was a suicide."

The Charlotte Observer published in Chapter 2 of its April 2016 report, "Ira’s brother also heard 'a little bit of conversation' about suicide from investigators."

It is interesting that Cloyd, Carver and other construction workers in the area all claimed to have heard the male jetskier yelling for help but never said a word about hearing a "commotion" prior to that time as prosecutors claimed there should have been. It could have been that Yarmolenko's death was a silent suicide except for the car crash. Cassada and Carver both mentioned having heard a "scraping" sound which they thought was a tractor scraping the road given the amount of construction taking place at the top of the embankment.

Aside from Strangulation, Minimal Impact to Body

As noted on our research page, one of the markers for suicide in strangulation is that the body is usually in good condition including minimal damage to the neck structures and an unbroken hyoid bone. Suicidal strangulation literature notes that other injuries may be linked to additional attempts at suicide prior to the strangling. Police told media in the days following Yarmolenko's death that her body was in good condition when they found it. No mention of a broken hyoid bone was made during the 2011 trial by the medical examiner who performed the autopsy. While this is a sad detail in relation to condition of the body, it is relevant that the choice was made to place Yarmolenko in an open casket prior to her burial. An archived news report from May 15, 2008, states the following:

At a visitation Saturday morning mourners quietly sobbed in front of Yarmolenko's casket, where she laid with her hands folded on top of her yellow sleeveless blouse. About 200 gathered for her burial.

Suicide-Related Hearsay

When questioned by media in 2011 and 2016, Ira Yarmolenko's brother Pavel Yarmolenko consistently denied knowing anything about his sister's possible risk for suicide or previous attempts. Information relating to the suicidal risk factors that may have played a role in Yarmolenko's death were unknown to the general public until around January 2013 when Mark Carver's appeal was denied by the Supreme Court of North Carolina. Around that time, several suicide-related rumors began to reach the author of this website, as follows:

  • An original defense case worker answered "yes" when questioned via phone by the author of this site about a rumor that Yarmolenko's cell phone showed an internet search for "suicide" the morning of the day of her death. Four other people familiar with the investigation claimed to have known about this, as well. The author of this site has been unable to obtain documentation showing this, neither was it mentioned during Carver's trial.
  • Phone records show Yarmolenko placed dozens if not hundreds of cell phone calls to friends during the weekend prior to her death. It is typical for people who are planning a suicide attempt to reconnect with friends as a way of saying goodbye. This was suggested by Carver's defense during closing arguments as a reason for Yarmolenko's visit on the morning of her death to the coffee shop where she previously worked to visit with her former co-workers and leave a gift for her former boss.
  • Several rumors have circulated that Yarmolenko dealt with anxiety. Someone who befriended Yarmolenko during her summer working in Alaska in 2007 emailed the author of this website to say that Yarmolenko had asked this friend to sell her prescription Xanax, an anti-anxiety medication. Another source claims Yarmolenko was worried about her grades in college. Yarmolenko's brother Pavel told media after her death that she had been a good student. Rumors exist that pregnancy may have been a concern several weeks prior to her death.
  • There is a rumor that Yarmolenko was raped as a child in Ukraine and that this tragedy formed the basis of the family's plans to immigrate to the United States. Yarmolenko's brother was quoted by WRAL on May 12, 2008, "Pavel, 25, a graduate student at Duke University, said his family moved from Ukraine in the 1990s because of religious persecution." However, this author has not seen any references to Yarmolenko's having been involved in religious activity after her move to the United States aside from one news article mentioning she stayed after a campus meeting one night to ask questions of a man who had been a guest speaker about the Bible. Eli Kaiser, a Jewish college friend of Yarmolenko's, wrote, "Ira never seemed to be a girl who would talk about G-d, or the Bible much, BUT, whenever I brought it up to her, she always seemed eager to know more, and always seemed happy to see me talk about something that I loved so much and was so passionate about."
  • Whether or not Yarmolenko was raped as a child or experienced long-term effects of such abuse into adulthood as is common among survivors in similar circumstances, a source with access to case records told the author of this website that documentation is on file showing that for whatever the reason, Yarmolenko had been treated by a psychiatrist at behavioral therapy clinic in Monroe, North Carolina, a thirty-minute drive to the southeast of The University of North Carolina Charlotte during the time she was a student there.
  • In late 2013, three close former friends of Yarmolenko individually contacted the author of this site to say that they are not surprised the suicide information has become known to the public. Two of those three people said they always assumed Yarmolenko "did it herself." The third said suicide was a definite possibility and listed reasons, including that Yarmolenko had attempted suicide more than once during high school and had been hospitalized for hurting herself. Reports of multiple prior suicide attempts also circulated among insiders with the case who said that Yarmolenko's medical records had been available to the defense counsel during preparations for Neal Cassada's trial and showed a bad mental history with repeated suicide attempts. Friends of Yarmolenko's from college years do not seem to be as aware of Yarmolenko's history of suicide attempts as do her friends from high school based on communication received by the author of this website. Here is an excerpt from one of the letters:
    You should know that she did attempt suicide more than once when she was in high school. She was a very sad person, something she quickly learned to cover up. Before her final and last suicide attempt she had wrote me an email. This email was written a few days before and it said she did not know what she wanted anymore and she felt like a bad person. It was along those lines, nothing that was out of the ordinary for her because she was a very mopey person but now that I think about it maybe it did mean something.
  • Prior to Yarmolenko's death, her boyfriend of three years broke up with her. Three separate sources have claimed Yarmolenko cheated on this boyfriend, and one of those sources said the cheating included a romantic relationship with another girl. On May 7, 2008, Adam Hamrick wrote that Yarmolenko's boyfriend told him at the end of the spring 2008 college semester that he wanted to try and work things out with her over the summer. Several people interviewed by investigators claimed Yarmolenko was bisexual - an entire folder is dedicated to this among case records - perhaps one reason friends remembered her as a social justice advocate according to The Charlotte Observer but also one reason she may have been at risk for suicide according to some studies (see References at the bottom of this page). One online forum claims that Yarmolenko was openly bisexual and served as the president of her high school's Gay-Straight Alliance (GSA), a student-run club.
  • At 20 years of age, Yarmolenko was underage to purchase alcohol, but an alcohol bottle was found in her car at the scene of her death along with a cup of coffee. This author has also heard rumor that investigative interviews after her death uncovered several friends who said Yarmolenko frequented the Mount Holly area for drug parties. Carver's post-conviction defense team never received documentation about these alleged witnesses, nor were they mentioned at trial.
  • Some of Yarmolenko's poetry published after her death refers to death and dark subjects, which in itself may be typical for a teenager, however, this author is aware of additional personal writings of Yarmolenko which are part of case files but which have not yet been made public that would offer further insight into her mental health.
  • A friend of the Yarmolenko family wrote the author of this website on November 9, 2013, ". . . I never knew exactly why she attempted suicide before but there were a few rumors that she had been raped in the Ukraine and that's why they moved. I am not sure, it was a very sensitive subject that does not get brought up. I barley see the family, but when I do there is no mention of Ira or the suicide findings."

Yarmolenko's family claimed she had planned to live with them when she returned to Chapel Hill. However, the author of this website was told that someone who claimed to have known Yarmolenko said that Yarmolenko had told her she would kill herself before going back to live with her parents and be under their rules. The author of this website personally listened to a recording of a female friend who left a cheery message on Yarmolenko's voicemail within hours of Yarmolenko's death asking if Yarmolenko had decided yet where to live in Chapel Hill.

Ira Yarmolenko's mother told media that her daughter's housing in Chapel Hill was settled.

This last point is not hearsay so much as it is observation that Yarmolenko donated six large trash bags full items to Goodwill plus a backpack the morning of the day she died. The author of this website saw the Goodwill surveillance video in full, and the donation was a sizeable one for someone living in a dorm apartment, as Yarmolenko was at the time. She also attempted to donate pillows, but the Goodwill worker refused to accept them per policy, so she placed them back in her car. One of the original defense attorneys in this case, David Phillips, told Dateline NBC in 2011 that Yarmolenko's giving away of her stuff and going to see her friends at Jackson's Java on her way out of Charlotte within hours of when her body was found was one of several clues he believes supports the theory of suicide in her death. Keep in mind that although Yarmolenko had told friends and family she planned to move back to Chapel Hill, the day of her death was just the first day of finals week at UNCC, and she had several more tests on her schedule during the remainder of that week.

Suicidal Strangulation Forensic Science Studies

Please review our summary of suicidal strangulation research that provides the scientific basis for our theory of suicide related to the Yarmolenko investigation. The research reviews hundreds of documented instances of death by suicidal strangulation. The manner of Yarmolenko's strangulation offers several points consistent with other known cases, as follows:

  • The ligatures were still in place when found with the hands unrestrained.
  • Ira Yarmolenko was right-handed, and the knots in the hoodie drawstring were on the right side of her neck, consistent with having been tied by her hands. Cassada and Carver were also both right-handed, which means the side of the knots would have been reversed if they had been standing in front of her.
  • Multiple ligatures were used, all of which were personal items.
  • Multiple knots were present.
  • Absence of major injuries and internal bleeding in Yarmolenko's neck point to suicide rather than murder.
  • It seems strange that a killer would have taken the time to cut a ribbon and tie a bow and multiple knots, especially if Yarmolenko was fighting against him. An attacker could have strangled her more quickly by hand or by holding her underwater.

Suicide Among Ukrainians

Ukraine, the country where Yarmolenko was born and lived the first eight years of her life, has one of the highest suicide rates in the world, about twice the rate of the United States. Suicides by other successful Slavic young women, such as Ruslana Korshunova in New York in 2008, have been linked to the suggestive influence of high frequencies of suicide in their post-Soviet home countries. (See more research on Suicide in the Ukraine from the US National Library of Medicine.)

Prosecutors' Theory Impossible

Carver's jury had to overlook contradictions in the prosecution's theory in order to reach a guilty verdict. The prosecution could not give an explanation for how Yarmolenko became wet or how she had died. The timeline they presented required Yarmolenko to be unconscious from the ligatures at the top of the embankment even though evidence placed the sequence of ligature application as occurring after the crash and after submersion due to Yarmolenko's hand grasping brush where she lay and the fact that the ribbon used as the first ligature was apparently dry according to photos and lack of any alternative witness testimony to wetness on the ligatures. Yarmolenko's hands were found unrestrained. Had she indeed revived after an earlier attack, she could have removed the ligatures herself. The prosecution theorized that the killers put Yarmolenko's car into neutral and pushed it down the embankment in an attempt to hide her car and body underwater, but the fisherman's DNA was not found on the trunk or back bumper among other indications that the car may have been driven rather than pushed down the embankment.

The ligature washing theory played a role in the 2011 trial. In essence, it proposes that while none of Carver's or Cassada's DNA was found on Yarmolenko's body or on the ligatures, the killers' DNA must have washed away from the ligatures when the body was submerged in the river. One problem with this is that Yarmolenko's own DNA was found on the ligatures plus other unidentified DNA in two places, and a partial washing, leaving one person's DNA but not another's, would have been impossible. Read more about the DNA on the ligatures on our DNA page. Other problems exist including the lack of photographic evidence of wetness on the ligatures, particularly the ribbon, and Yarmolenko's hand grasping vegetation rooted to the embankment where she lay, suggesting the ligatures were applied right before she became unconscious on the ground.

Differing theories have been promoted through the years by people from the prosecution, defense and media about how and to what degree Yarmolenko became wet and whether or not the ligatures had been submerged. Everyone allows that scene photos clearly show mud on Yarmolenko's back and the backs of her arms (Trial Transcript p. 130). "Wet" or "wetness" is stated 18 times in relation to the body during the 2011 trial including by scene eyewitness Mount Holly Police Detective William Terry who used photos to illustrate the wetness by pointing out more than seven areas on clothing and hair that were wet. He started the topic by saying, "Her body was wet. Her clothing was wet. It appeared that her hair was wet, also." No one objected to his photographic illustrations at the time. During deliberation, the jury asked to review photos of Yarmolenko's wet clothing, and the judge and attorneys from both sides agreed and selected a photo they considered best. For those who would wish to clarify the issue of whether Yarmolenko or the ligatures appeared wet enough to support the possibility of submersion, which will probably never feature prominently in Carver's case given the relative importance of touch DNA, a solution would be to obtain an additional one or two eyewitness testimonies from first responders to the scene since photographs of the body began to be taken up to an hour after they began arriving around 2 p.m. with temperatures reaching into the high 70s during midday on that sunny day which would have allowed for evaporation. The suicide theory presented here states that Yarmolenko attempted a self-drowning after which she applied dry ligatures.

Murder vs. Suicide Summary

For people who are unfamiliar with the suicidal risk factors in Yarmolenko's history, it seems astonishing that a beautiful, young woman with a bright academic future could have persisted in multiple attempts at suicide. If we consider her death according to the suicide theory, so many chances were given her for a change of heart: the car stopped short of the river, a possible drowning attempt was unsuccessful, and two ligatures were tied before she fastened the bungee cord. Yet, evidence that conflicts when viewed as a murder fits together when viewed as a suicide. This website exists to put forward as comprehensive an overview of the case as possible, and for that reason we must address the evidence that supports the suicide theory. Watch the suicide theory reenactment below.

Suicide Theory in Court

Attorney David Phillips had planned to base his defense for Neal Cassada on the evidence for suicide and was disappointed that Cassada died before trial. Most of the suicide evidence went unused during Mark Carver's trial which was led by attorney Brent Ratchford, who at the time did not believe suicide had occurred. Phillips assisted Ratchford for Carver's trial and presented the suicide theory during closing arguments, but the closing arguments were not transcribed, so public records of the suicide defense are limited to news reports from the trial. Five years after Carver's trial, Ratchford told The Charlotte Observer, "I don't know what happened. I don't know who killed her. But I know it wasn't Mark. I know it wasn't Neal."

Carver's post-conviction attorney, The North Carolina Center on Actual Innocence Executive Director Chris Mumma has routinely denied in public that she intends to pursue the suicide theory in defending his case. She was first publicly asked about suicide by WBTV in February 2016 (topic begins at 21:20 in the podcast) and declined to give a definitive answer at that time but subsequently referred to the case as one of murder to several other media outlets and in court filings. At Carver's April 2019 hearing, Mumma stated during closing arguments that she believes "Ira Yarmolenko is innocent." The common‑law crime of suicide was abolished as an offense in North Carolina in 1973 (see N.C.G.S. 14-17.1.), so the victim is legally innocent regardless of death by homicide or suicide, but we know what Mumma meant. In court filings and during hearings, Mumma has cited unidentified, partial DNA found on the ribbon and bungee cord and a ski mask left in the woods nearby as indications of a possible killer. Note that most of the DNA found on the ligatures was Yarmolenko's own including all of the DNA found on the drawstring which was the most intricately tied ligature, and DNA analysis must take into account corroborating factors to ensure placement at the time of the event in question. The ligatures were common items owned by Yarmolenko which she used in her daily life around other people prior to her death. Furthermore, construction workers were the first people to arrive by land to the body and were never questioned much less tested for DNA comparison, and law enforcement's failure to adequately secure the scene as they processed it has been documented. We may never know who all may have touched or dropped cell-carrying perspiration on the ligatures at the scene due to these investigative lapses. No photos are apparently available of the ski mask as it was found to illustrate whether it may have been deposited during the two hours Yarmolenko was unaccounted for before her body was found. The scene of her death was a gas right-of-way clearing that, while hidden due to surrounding woods, offered access to the river and was used by members of the community year-round in all temperatures. It was a warm day in late spring when Yarmolenko died. Investigators decided against relevance of the ski mask and never submitted it for DNA testing, though Mumma has argued this was a mistake. The suicide theory as presented on this website is based on numerous factors and takes into account possible contamination of the ligatures as described above. Suicidal strangulation research as compared to scene and autopsy findings is a major foundation for the suicide theory as presented on this website. Further collaboration is always welcome from people who have access to case photographs and files. At the time of this writing, no case documentation known to this author conflicts with the suicide theory as presented here.

Members of the media, public and legal community have generally agreed that Mark Carver's conviction is questionable, but disagreement has been sharp over whether or not Yarmolenko may have committed suicide. The reasons against suicide usually center around the benevolent side of Yarmolenko's personality and the fact that she was found with multiple ligatures around her neck. Anyone familiar with suicidal risk factors or suicidal strangulation research knows that multiple ligatures are in fact a common finding in suicidal strangulation and that people at risk for suicide may display varying warning signs.


Contact us for assistance in finding full texts of these studies if desired:

  • Bolton SL, Sareen J. Sexual orientation and its relation to mental disorders and suicide attempts: findings from a nationally representative sample. Can J Psychiatry. 2011 Jan;56(1):35-43. PubMed PMID: 21324241.
  • King M, Semlyen J, Tai SS, Killaspy H, Osborn D, Popelyuk D, Nazareth I. A systematic review of mental disorder, suicide, and deliberate self harm in lesbian, gay and bisexual people. BMC Psychiatry. 2008 Aug 18;8:70. doi:10.1186/1471-244X-8-70. Review. PubMed PMID: 18706118; PubMed Central PMCID: PMC2533652.